The School of Odds
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Grimsby Town v Rotherham United

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prediction 60.70%1.65fair odd
EV -5.91%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -10.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.41%60.73%60.80%61.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5568.03%65.85%65.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rotherham United (Visit)

Prediction 18.42%5.43fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.235%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.84%18.25%18.41%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.065.005.5021.74%19.76%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.88%4.79fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.21%21.02%20.79%21.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.364.334.6023.81%22.95%23.09%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grimsby Town (Local): 60.70%; Rotherham United (Visit): 18.42%; Draw: 20.88%. For Rotherham United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -5.91%E -3.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.73%E -5.09%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.59%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-14 22:29
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.44%EV -2.21%E -0.416%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.09%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -9.55%E -6.41%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -7.09%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -8.34%E -5.52%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -11.26%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -7.12%E -4.66%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -3.95%E -0.860%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-14 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.12%E -4.66%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.23%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.26%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -7.73%E -5.09%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -10.22%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 18:05
picklebet_au🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.12%E -4.66%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 17:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.12%E -4.66%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 18:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.12%E -4.66%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.12%E -4.66%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.12%E -4.66%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 18:10
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.59%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.64%EV -5.91%E -3.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.84%EV -8.10%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.52%EV -4.37%E -0.955%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.37%EV -6.52%E -4.23%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 23:19
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -8.34%E -5.52%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.91%EV -10.77%E -7.32%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.22%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-14 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-14 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -15.28%E -3.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-14 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 58.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.26%16.7%2026-11-14 17:20

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