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Grimsby Town v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 51.36%1.95fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.43%51.42%51.33%53.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8558.82%55.55%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 22.14%4.52fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.398%
Kelly +0.509%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.77%22.01%22.16%23.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.164.204.6025.97%24.05%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -0.603%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%26.56%26.51%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.453.7530.30%28.77%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 51.36%; Northampton Town (Visit): 22.14%; Draw: 26.51%. For Northampton Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -12.69%E -7.47%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +1.83%E +0.398%K +0.509%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.56%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.87%EV +1.17%E +0.256%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.57%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.50%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.89%EV +0.946%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -0.382%E -0.085%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -0.382%E -0.085%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -0.382%E -0.085%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -2.60%E -0.590%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -11.21%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -2.60%E -0.590%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -11.21%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -2.60%E -0.590%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.15%E -0.957%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.15%E -0.957%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.15%E -0.957%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.02%EV -6.80%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.603%E -0.161%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.93%E -0.521%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.92%EV -5.50%E -2.99%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 13:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -10.64%E -6.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.56%E -3.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-12 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.21%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.53% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.34% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.34% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.12% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |