Language:English
Gillingham v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.00%48.34%48.23%50.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.43%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 24.82%4.03fair odd
EV -0.718%
Edge -0.179%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%24.77%24.85%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.84%26.70%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +0.888%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.89%26.93%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.423.8430.77%29.02%29.24%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 48.25%; Newport County (Visit): 24.82%; Draw: 26.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.17%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.83%EV +3.41%E +0.888%K +1.20%G +0.041% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 13:52 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -10.74%E -5.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.20%E -0.820%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -0.360%E -0.097%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -0.360%E -0.097%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 13:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.718%E -0.179%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.88%E -3.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.70%E -6.40%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -3.20%E -0.820%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%EV -3.98%E -2.00%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -1.96%E -0.496%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.560%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -7.36%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.19%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.74%EV -7.67%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 13:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -6.88%E -3.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.13%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.57%EV -10.74%E -5.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.40%EV -10.74%E -5.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.65%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.36%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -1.96%E -0.496%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.36%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -1.96%E -0.496%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.36% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |