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Gillingham v Crewe Alexandra

2026-11-21 12:30 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gillingham (Local)

Prediction 34.15%2.93fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%34.07%34.17%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.702.702.8038.17%37.01%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Crewe Alexandra (Visit)

Prediction 37.00%2.70fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.46%37.15%36.97%38.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.502.5642.55%40.46%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.86%3.47fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.32%28.79%28.86%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.36%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gillingham (Local): 34.15%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 37.00%; Draw: 28.86%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -1.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.39%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 17:15
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.42%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.11%EV -6.50%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-14 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.10%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.77%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 16:45
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.10%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.21%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-14 16:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.10%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-14 16:45
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.10%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-14 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.10%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.10%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-14 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -1.88%E -0.553%K -0.783%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 17:20
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -4.77%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 23:19
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-14 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-14 16:44
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-14 16:45
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.81%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-14 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.37%EV -8.49%E -3.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 16:45
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.37%EV -8.49%E -3.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -3.32%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -9.51%E -3.59%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.06%E -5.56%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-14 21:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.20%E -3.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.95%E -5.02%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.54%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-14 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.54%E -4.02%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.51%E -3.00%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 16:44
Casumo🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.54%E -4.02%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-14 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%7.2%2026-11-14 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%7.2%2026-11-14 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%13.9%2026-11-14 18:10
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 33.61%2.16I 46.30%NM 34.24%2.30I 43.48%NM 32.15%35.2%2026-11-14 22:15

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