Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Walsall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 42.78%2.34fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.21%42.71%42.78%43.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.59%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Walsall (Visit)
Prediction 30.31%3.30fair odd
EV -5.45%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.39%30.31%32.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1236.36%33.45%33.33%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%26.90%26.91%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.423.453.6030.30%29.24%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 42.78%; Walsall (Visit): 30.31%; Draw: 26.91%. For Fleetwood Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -16.66%E -6.06%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -16.66%E -6.06%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.05%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.16%E -3.30%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -7.16%E -3.30%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -9.04%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.91%EV -6.66%E -2.16%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.25%EV -9.04%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 08:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 00:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.80%EV -8.87%E -4.16%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -9.30%E -4.39%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -9.30%E -4.39%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 12:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-05 04:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.12%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.19%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.29%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |