The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Fleetwood Town v Walsall

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%44.19%44.21%46.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.052.1550.00%48.27%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Walsall (Visit)

Prediction 29.09%3.44fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.825%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%29.02%29.08%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.173.3733.33%31.48%31.50%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%26.78%26.72%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.9130.30%28.58%28.57%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fleetwood Town (Local): 44.17%; Walsall (Visit): 29.09%; Draw: 26.74%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.91, producing a positive expected value of +4.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -10.34%E -5.09%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.70%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV +4.55%E +1.16%K +1.56%G +0.071%5.0%2026-10-03 16:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.99%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 16:26
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 16:33
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 15:30
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 16:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-03 16:29
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.94%EV -1.96%E -0.580%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.22%EV -7.49%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 16:00
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 15:15
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 16:26
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.15%EV -9.90%E -4.85%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -3.99%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.93%EV -8.56%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 15:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-03 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41