The School of Odds
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Fleetwood Town v Tranmere Rovers

2026-11-14 17:30 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%48.82%49.10%50.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.881.9555.56%52.82%53.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.81%24.76%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.653.603.9528.99%27.36%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.36%26.14%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.483.7030.30%28.87%28.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fleetwood Town (Local): 49.01%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 24.79%; Draw: 26.20%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.95, with an expected value of -2.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 14:19
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-06 14:19
picklebet_au🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-06 14:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-06 14:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -6.89%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.06%E -0.828%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 14:19
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.89%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-06 14:20
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -7.38%E -3.90%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.78%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-06 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -7.38%E -3.90%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-06 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.17%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.12%EV -3.06%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.70%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-06 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -2.06%E -0.522%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-06 14:20
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -2.06%E -0.522%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-06 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-06 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-06 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -14.46%E -4.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-06 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.62%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.15%EV -7.78%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-06 14:59
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-06 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-06 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%17.2%2026-11-06 14:20

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