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Fleetwood Town v Rotherham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 48.82%2.05fair odd
EV +0.080%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.38%48.77%48.83%51.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.912.0557.14%52.37%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rotherham United (Visit)
Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV +0.442%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%25.22%25.22%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.654.0030.77%27.64%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV +0.109%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.038%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.01%25.96%26.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.8429.85%28.47%28.57%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 48.82%; Rotherham United (Visit): 25.11%; Draw: 26.07%. For Rotherham United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.442%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -14.57%E -8.32%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV +0.442%E +0.111%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -8.71%E -4.66%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.01%EV -0.060%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.89%EV +0.109%E +0.028%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%EV -9.20%E -4.94%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.98%EV -0.311%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.85%EV -0.152%E -0.040%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.813%E -0.206%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 11:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.813%E -0.206%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -6.27%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.71%E -4.66%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.84%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.84%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.84%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -10.66%E -5.83%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -5.84%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 11:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -0.934%E -0.246%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -8.71%E -4.66%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.24%E -0.597%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.54%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.54%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -9.20%E -4.94%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.69%EV -9.35%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.22%E -4.37%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.934%E -0.246%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -5.29%E -2.73%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.080%E +0.039%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.080%E +0.039%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -5.78%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -6.27%E -3.26%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.75%E -3.54%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -15.88%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -18.39%E -5.66%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |