Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Rochdale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 49.11%2.04fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.73%49.11%49.18%50.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.881.9555.87%53.36%53.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rochdale (Visit)
Prediction 24.24%4.12fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.30%24.18%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.854.0728.17%26.14%25.97%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.59%26.64%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.423.7030.30%28.90%29.20%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 49.11%; Rochdale (Visit): 24.24%; Draw: 26.65%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.07, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.23%E -2.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.09%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -1.33%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -9.09%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.58%EV -8.60%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -9.94%E -2.94%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.09%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 13:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.20%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 12:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.94%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -7.18%E -3.80%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.18%E -3.80%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.03%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.67%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.16%E -4.36%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -1.41%E -0.382%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.16%E -4.36%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.03%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -8.16%E -4.36%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.72%EV -5.94%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -8.65%E -4.65%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.03%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -8.65%E -4.65%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.03%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.03%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.09%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.13%E -5.53%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:08 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-23 14:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.60%E -6.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -11.60%E -6.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.60%E -6.44%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-26 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.06%EV -12.09%E -6.75%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-23 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60% | 1.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |