The School of Odds
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Fleetwood Town v Bristol Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Fleetwood Town 3–1 Bristol Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prediction 38.86%2.57fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.18%39.04%38.70%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.402.5046.51%42.03%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bristol Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 33.53%2.98fair odd
EV +0.597%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.62%33.38%33.65%35.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.753.0039.22%36.51%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.61%3.62fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.60%27.58%27.66%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.303.5231.25%29.96%30.30%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 38.86%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 33.53%; Draw: 27.61%. For Bristol Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.597%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -8.29%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -2.82%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -11.40%E -5.00%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -11.40%E -5.00%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -12.57%E -5.59%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -12.57%E -5.59%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -1.08%E -0.366%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -16.45%E -7.65%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -1.08%E -0.366%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -9.85%E -4.24%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -9.85%E -4.24%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -12.57%E -5.59%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.45%EV -3.24%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.71%EV -4.77%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.83%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 14:40
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -5.10%E -1.80%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -7.79%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 14:45
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -9.46%E -4.06%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.58%EV -7.79%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 14:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -11.40%E -5.00%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.37%E -0.962%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 14:45
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:43
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 14:45
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 14:44
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -2.85%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.81%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.37%E -0.962%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:38
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 14:45
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 14:45
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.57%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-10-31 14:45