Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town v Barnet

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.99%33.28%33.34%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.802.9038.17%35.88%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 38.18%2.62fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.01%38.22%38.19%39.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.5443.48%41.58%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.37%28.50%28.47%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.75%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 33.31%; Barnet (Visit): 38.18%; Draw: 28.51%. For Barnet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.54, with an expected value of -3.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.96%EV -3.01%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -4.50%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.96%EV -3.01%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -4.50%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -9.50%E -4.01%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.08%E -0.905%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -9.50%E -4.01%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 04:10
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 04:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:55
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 04:09
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.16%E -1.66%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.50%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:00
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.95%EV -6.40%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -7.21%E -2.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.95%EV -6.40%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -7.21%E -2.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.54%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.50%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.45%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:49
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.45%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -3.08%E -0.905%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -11.03%E -4.73%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -11.03%E -4.73%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -11.03%E -4.73%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.95%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.73%EV -10.65%E -4.55%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 11:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -9.40%E -3.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -9.40%E -3.46%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.45%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.45%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:49
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -10.20%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.45%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.20%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -12.40%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.18%E -5.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.90%E -6.22%K -9.52%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -12.73%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.36%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.04%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%2.3%2026-04-06 13:50