Language:English
Exeter City v Rotherham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV +0.277%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.169%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%37.87%38.06%39.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.6443.48%40.84%40.82%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rotherham United (Visit)
Prediction 33.35%3.00fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.97%33.28%33.50%34.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9438.46%36.25%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV +5.19%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.101%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%28.85%28.44%31.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.6733.33%30.65%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 37.98%; Rotherham United (Visit): 33.35%; Draw: 28.66%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -9.60%E -4.03%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.18%EV -7.28%E -2.62%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.89%EV +5.19%E +1.42%K +1.95%G +0.101% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.80%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.74%E -4.57%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.74%E -4.57%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.64%E -5.49%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.36%EV -9.98%E -4.21%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.28%E -5.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-28 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.60%E -4.03%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -13.28%E -5.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-28 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.61%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -11.61%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -12.64%E -5.49%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.95%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 09:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.14%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -3.28%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.30%EV +0.277%E +0.105%K +0.169%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.59%EV -1.94%E -0.661%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.11%EV -11.72%E -3.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.31%EV -0.103%E -0.039%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.59%EV -2.28%E -0.777%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.10%EV -12.00%E -3.91%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.74%EV -7.32%E -3.00%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.29%EV -12.86%E -4.23%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 13:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%EV -2.76%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%EV -2.76%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -3.28%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.77% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09% | 2.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |