The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Exeter City v Fleetwood Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Exeter City 2–1 Fleetwood Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Exeter City (Local)

Prediction 38.66%2.59fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%38.76%38.63%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.81%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fleetwood Town (Visit)

Prediction 32.70%3.06fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%32.54%32.74%33.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.812.802.9537.74%35.59%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.86%28.70%28.63%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.203.203.4032.26%31.24%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 38.66%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 32.70%; Draw: 28.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -4.52%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.57%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 13:50
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.70%EV -4.19%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.18%EV -2.61%E -0.769%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:45
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.80%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:45
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.80%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.80%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.29%E -2.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 15:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.68%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.68%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.45%E -2.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.45%E -2.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.61%E -0.769%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:31
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:45
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.80%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 13:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:55
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.63%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -4.19%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -10.63%E -3.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 14:13
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.80%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:50
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.80%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:45
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.22%E -3.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -5.82%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -10.63%E -3.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 14:07
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.00%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.48%EV -8.38%E -3.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 13:49
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -9.16%E -3.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -9.16%E -3.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -9.16%E -3.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -9.16%E -3.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 15:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -9.16%E -3.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -13.34%E -5.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 15:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -9.16%E -3.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -13.34%E -5.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 15:06
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.09%E -4.82%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 08:11
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.09%E -4.82%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.44%E -3.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 09:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.09%E -4.82%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 13:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%2.5%2026-10-24 13:55

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