Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Exeter City v Barnet

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Exeter City (Local)

Prediction 29.75%3.36fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%29.87%29.65%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.35%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.48%44.63%44.68%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.052.1250.00%48.47%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.539%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.50%25.67%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.613.603.8228.57%27.71%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Exeter City (Local): 29.75%; Barnet (Visit): 44.61%; Draw: 25.64%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.82, with an expected value of -2.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.21%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 17:50
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:04
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 18:05
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:50
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:05
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 17:50
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.43%EV -8.97%E -2.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.13%EV -5.87%E -2.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.44%EV -6.16%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -6.76%E -3.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -6.16%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:45
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.96%EV -9.56%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.40%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.64%EV -2.06%E -0.539%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:55
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:00
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.54%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 17:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 28.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%16.2%2026-08-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 16:55