Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Bristol Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 32.90%3.04fair odd
EV -0.643%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.318%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%32.83%32.93%35.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.682.812.803.0237.31%35.56%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bristol Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 39.93%2.50fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%39.97%39.98%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4145.45%43.18%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.641%
Kelly +0.873%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%27.20%27.09%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.7731.25%29.54%29.41%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 32.90%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 39.93%; Draw: 27.17%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -11.83%E -4.41%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.39%EV -3.76%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.18%EV +2.42%E +0.641%K +0.873%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 09:18 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.16%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.72%EV -0.643%E -0.213%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.29%EV -7.35%E -3.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -0.972%E -0.323%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -7.75%E -3.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.16%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.16%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.91%EV -6.57%E -2.31%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.60%EV -5.76%E -2.44%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -2.95%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -12.15%E -5.52%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.63%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.35%E -3.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.71%EV -9.81%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.35%E -3.17%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -2.95%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 08:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.90%EV -6.55%E -2.80%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -8.95%E -3.93%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 08:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |