The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Crewe Alexandra v Barnet

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Crewe Alexandra 1–1 Barnet

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prediction 31.25%3.20fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.11%31.17%31.31%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.41%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 42.12%2.37fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%42.31%42.05%45.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.2850.00%46.16%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.85%26.52%26.64%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.7030.30%28.71%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 31.25%; Barnet (Visit): 42.12%; Draw: 26.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -1.55%E -0.491%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 14:15
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.05%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.94%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -5.73%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:30
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -14.08%E -6.90%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-29 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.92%E -7.39%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-29 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.92%E -7.39%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-29 08:20
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:45
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:39
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:39
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 14:44
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 14:45
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.17%EV -7.17%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.75%EV -7.86%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 14:40
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:20
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.21%EV -8.19%E -3.76%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -7.86%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -8.19%E -3.76%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -1.47%E -0.398%K -0.546%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -9.03%E -4.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:30
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 10:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:40
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:40
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -14.05%E -5.11%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 06:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-10-31 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-10-31 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-10-31 14:20
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-10-31 14:20

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