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Crawley Town v Tranmere Rovers

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crawley Town (Local)

Prediction 31.09%3.22fair odd
EV -6.72%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.51%31.07%30.99%31.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.953.003.0035.71%33.86%33.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 42.36%2.36fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.28%42.57%43.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.182.202.2546.51%45.82%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%26.65%26.44%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.13%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Crawley Town (Local): 31.09%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 42.36%; Draw: 26.55%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -4.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.42%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 16:35
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.67%EV -8.09%E -3.73%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:40
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.75%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 16:35
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:25
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:45
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.89%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 17:35
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.42%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.40%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.67%E -3.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.40%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:14
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-17 17:15