The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Crawley Town v Shrewsbury Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Crawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crawley Town (Local)

Prediction 35.55%2.81fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.465%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.81%35.45%35.66%37.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.622.8540.00%37.84%38.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visit)

Prediction 37.34%2.68fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.830%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%37.41%37.25%39.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.462.472.6243.86%40.72%40.49%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%27.13%27.09%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.403.5831.25%29.79%29.41%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 35.55%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 37.34%; Draw: 27.11%. For Crawley Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +1.33%E +0.465%K +0.716%G +0.009%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -11.14%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 13:54
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 18:30
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:54
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:54
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:54
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.23%E -0.811%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 13:54
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -2.92%E -1.12%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-20 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 18:30
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -14.12%E -6.14%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-19 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.11%EV -14.87%E -6.52%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-19 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.11%EV -14.87%E -6.52%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-19 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.79%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.79%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:30
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.41%EV -6.50%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.83%EV -2.92%E -1.12%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.75%EV -2.95%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 18:29
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -6.50%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.42%EV -6.85%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.85%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.73%EV -3.22%E -0.902%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.85%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.85%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 18:40
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.85%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -2.17%E -0.830%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.85%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 18:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 18:29
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%EV -5.91%E -2.34%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.04%EV -5.91%E -2.34%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:35
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:30
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:30
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -12.26%E -5.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-20 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -12.26%E -5.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-20 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.95%EV -8.99%E -3.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.23%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -9.34%E -3.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.92%E -1.12%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.34%E -3.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:35
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.34%E -3.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.34%E -3.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.65%EV -7.77%E -3.15%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.12%E -4.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -2.17%E -0.830%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.12%E -4.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -2.92%E -1.12%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.12%E -4.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.12%E -4.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.12%E -4.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-20 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-10-20 18:40