A Escola das Odds

Crawley Town v Gillingham

Início: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Previsão 42.02%2.38odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.530%
Kelly -0.922%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.93%41.87%42.04%42.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.222.3547.62%44.64%45.05%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gillingham (Visitante)

Previsão 30.38%3.29odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.486%
Kelly -0.703%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.30%30.54%30.32%33.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.953.003.2437.04%33.95%33.33%30.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.60%3.62odd justa
EV -0.645%
Vantagem -0.179%
Kelly -0.248%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.79%27.59%27.63%29.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.83%29.85%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:24
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 15:20
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 06:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 15:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 15:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 06:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 15:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 06:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 06:24
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 16:00
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.77%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.30%EV -1.58%E -0.486%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 15:30
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.54%EV -10.03%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 14:34
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 06:25
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -5.22%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 13:54
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.645%E -0.179%K -0.248%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 15:30
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -4.61%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -10.03%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 14:34
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 16:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 16:10
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:27
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:24
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:25
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -17.20%E -5.73%K -8.60%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 06:25
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.97%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.96%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 02:10
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.97%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.96%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 02:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.39%E -3.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 06:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.39%E -3.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 06:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 22:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 12:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 15:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 16:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 15:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 06:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 06:24
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.75%E -5.60%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 23:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%2.7%2026-03-28 01:05