L’École des cotes

Crawley Town v Gillingham

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Prévision 42.02%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.530%
Kelly -0.922%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%41.87%42.04%42.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.222.3547.62%44.64%45.05%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gillingham (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.38%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.486%
Kelly -0.703%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.30%30.54%30.32%33.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.953.003.2437.04%33.95%33.33%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.645%
Avantage -0.179%
Kelly -0.248%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%27.59%27.63%29.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.83%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -1.24%E -0.530%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:24
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 15:20
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 06:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 15:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 15:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 06:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 15:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 06:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.41%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 06:24
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 16:00
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.77%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.30%EV -1.58%E -0.486%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 15:30
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.54%EV -10.03%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 14:34
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 06:25
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -5.22%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 13:54
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.645%E -0.179%K -0.248%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 15:30
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -4.61%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -10.03%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 14:34
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 16:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 16:10
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:27
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:24
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:25
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 06:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -17.20%E -5.73%K -8.60%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 06:25
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.97%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.96%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 02:10
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.97%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.96%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 02:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.39%E -3.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 06:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.39%E -3.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 06:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 22:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 12:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 15:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 16:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 15:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 06:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 06:24
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.75%E -5.60%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 23:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%1.9%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%2.7%2026-03-28 01:05