Language:English
Crawley Town v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 21.94%4.56fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.96%21.87%23.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.164.204.5026.32%24.03%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 54.61%1.83fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.63%54.48%54.69%56.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.701.7961.73%58.57%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -0.460%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.71%23.56%23.44%25.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.853.904.2028.17%25.98%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 21.94%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 54.61%; Draw: 23.46%. For Crawley Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.29%E -0.287%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -1.47%E -0.351%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -1.29%E -0.287%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -3.48%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.48%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.48%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.48%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.48%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -9.68%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.48%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -9.68%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.68%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.08%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -5.68%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.08%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 04:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.52%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.41%EV -7.10%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -8.26%E -4.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.26%EV -7.10%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 08:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.26%E -4.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.26%E -4.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 04:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 04:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.76%EV -8.26%E -4.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -14.38%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -8.09%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.70%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.98%EV -4.52%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -2.26%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -2.26%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -9.68%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.26%E -4.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.68%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.26%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.45%E -3.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -4.99%E -2.87%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -15.55%E -4.04%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.63%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -16.72%E -4.71%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.64%E -4.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -8.81%E -5.27%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |