Language:English
Crawley Town v Chesterfield FC
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 22.91%4.37fair odd
EV +5.37%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.04%22.50%23.46%24.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.184.204.6026.67%23.95%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 53.70%1.86fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -6.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.21%54.13%53.16%56.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.04%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV +0.118%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.036%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%23.37%23.38%23.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.964.004.2826.67%25.23%25.00%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Crawley Town (Local): 22.91%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 53.70%; Draw: 23.39%. For Crawley Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +5.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV +5.37%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.080% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -13.00%E -8.03%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV +3.08%E +0.684%K +0.879%G +0.027% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV +3.08%E +0.684%K +0.879%G +0.027% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +3.08%E +0.684%K +0.879%G +0.027% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -10.32%E -6.18%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV +3.08%E +0.684%K +0.879%G +0.027% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -11.93%E -7.27%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV +3.08%E +0.684%K +0.879%G +0.027% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -14.08%E -8.80%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +0.785%E +0.179%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -9.78%E -5.82%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +0.785%E +0.179%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -10.85%E -6.54%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV +0.785%E +0.179%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -11.93%E -7.27%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -0.818%E -0.189%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -13.00%E -8.03%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 19:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.80%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -9.78%E -5.82%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 18:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -3.80%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -13.00%E -8.03%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.25%EV -5.48%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.31%EV -5.96%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.93%EV -8.83%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.25%EV +0.118%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.49%EV -10.21%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.47% | 16.7% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 29.95% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 39.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 30.23% | 53.1% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 31.06% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 37.88% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 31.06% | 61.0% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 31.06% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 37.88% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 31.06% | 61.0% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |