The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Crawley Town v Barnet

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crawley Town (Local)

Prediction 22.28%4.49fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%22.39%22.15%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.024.004.2526.32%24.85%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 54.45%1.84fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.37%54.32%54.39%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.8160.61%58.22%58.65%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.495%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.41%23.29%23.46%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.884.3727.78%25.80%25.77%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 22.28%; Barnet (Visit): 54.45%; Draw: 23.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.88%EV -8.86%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.70%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.41%EV +1.67%E +0.382%K +0.495%G +0.008%6.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 11:55
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 11:54
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 11:54
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-23 11:35
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 17:07
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -10.15%E -6.15%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 16:28
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -10.15%E -6.15%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 16:28
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 16:24
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 11:54
1xBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.26%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -9.73%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 06:23
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.55%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.76%EV -9.73%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 06:24
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 11:54
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -1.44%E -0.797%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -1.44%E -0.797%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 11:54
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:53
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:55
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:54
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.21%E -3.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-21 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.51%EV -5.25%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-21 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.