L’École des cotes

Colchester United v Walsall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 40.75%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.33%40.75%40.79%42.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.242.252.3945.87%44.55%44.44%41.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%29.07%29.01%30.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.3133.33%31.36%31.25%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.20%3.31cote équitable
EV -0.353%
Avantage -0.107%
Kelly -0.154%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.63%30.18%30.19%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.69%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.60%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.01%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -10.02%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 03:05
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.18%EV -5.45%E -2.35%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.46%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -8.81%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 00:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.45%E -2.35%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -10.02%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 12:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -0.353%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 19:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 22:43
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.71%EV -8.81%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-28 00:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 18:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.90%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.20%E -2.59%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.90%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.20%E -2.59%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 15:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 07:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 07:24
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:04
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.39%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 01:15
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 19:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:45
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:49
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-23 11:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-23 15:19
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-27 23:44
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.53%E -4.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 11:04
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:30
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.16%E -5.12%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 07:24
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.16%E -5.12%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.16%E -5.12%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 07:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-03-28 00:30
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-03-28 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-27 22:55