La escuela de los momios

Colchester United v Walsall

Inicio: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Predicción 40.75%2.45momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.33%40.75%40.79%42.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.242.252.3945.87%44.55%44.44%41.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%29.07%29.01%30.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.203.3133.33%31.36%31.25%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.20%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.353%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.154%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.63%30.18%30.19%31.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.69%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.85%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.20%EV -7.60%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.01%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -10.02%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 03:05
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.18%EV -5.45%E -2.35%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.46%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -8.81%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 00:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.45%E -2.35%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -10.02%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 12:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -0.353%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 19:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 22:43
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.71%EV -8.81%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-28 00:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.27%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 18:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.90%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.20%E -2.59%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.90%E -3.49%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.20%E -2.59%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 15:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 07:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 07:24
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:04
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.86%E -0.573%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.39%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 01:15
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 19:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:45
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 18:49
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-23 11:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-23 15:19
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.31%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-27 23:44
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.53%E -4.29%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 11:04
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 15:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:30
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:24
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 07:25
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -10.34%E -4.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-27 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.16%E -5.12%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 07:24
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.16%E -5.12%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 07:25
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.16%E -5.12%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 07:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-03-28 00:30
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-03-28 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-27 22:55