Language:English
Colchester United v Rochdale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd
EV -0.511%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%48.40%48.47%51.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.941.952.0556.50%51.62%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rochdale (Visit)
Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV +3.96%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%24.78%24.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.704.2030.77%27.32%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.82%26.74%28.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.403.6531.75%29.47%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 48.53%; Rochdale (Visit): 24.75%; Draw: 26.72%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -14.10%E -7.97%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +3.96%E +0.944%K +1.24%G +0.049% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.988%E -0.247%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.988%E -0.247%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.988%E -0.247%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.46%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%EV -6.34%E -3.28%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.31%EV -2.72%E -0.692%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.44%EV -6.34%E -3.28%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.34%EV -2.97%E -0.757%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.22%EV -2.75%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.46%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.46%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.46%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.18%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -9.40%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.82%E -3.55%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.19%E -6.11%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -0.511%E -0.249%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -15.84%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -1.97%E -0.974%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -4.39%E -2.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -4.39%E -2.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -19.55%E -6.02%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -15.85%E -5.03%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -4.39%E -2.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -19.55%E -6.02%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -15.85%E -5.03%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |