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Colchester United v Gillingham

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colchester United (Local)

Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.36%44.56%45.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.082.1550.00%48.21%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gillingham (Visit)

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%27.57%27.55%28.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.4631.75%30.32%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%28.07%27.89%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.55%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Colchester United (Local): 44.53%; Gillingham (Visit): 27.56%; Draw: 27.91%. For Colchester United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.15, with an expected value of -4.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 14:19
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-06 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-06 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-06 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 14:20
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 14:18
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-06 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-06 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-06 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.07%EV -6.93%E -3.31%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.22%EV -4.64%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 14:20
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.61%EV -7.39%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.78%EV -6.80%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-06 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-06 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -8.26%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.61%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.61%EV -6.80%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-06 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-06 14:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-06 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-06 17:15
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-06 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-06 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.93%E -5.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-06 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.93%E -5.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-06 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 43.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%16.9%2026-11-06 14:20

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