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Colchester United v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 42.21%2.37fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.95%42.33%42.23%44.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.202.2748.78%45.98%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.384%
Kelly +0.537%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.07%28.78%29.07%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.203.203.5032.79%31.25%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.83%3.47fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%28.89%28.70%30.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.253.3533.33%31.20%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 42.21%; Exeter City (Visit): 28.96%; Draw: 28.83%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -13.46%E -6.57%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV +1.34%E +0.384%K +0.537%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.17%EV -4.17%E -1.84%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.83%EV -0.395%E -0.115%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.01%EV -8.03%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.81%EV -0.684%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -8.32%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -1.55%E -0.457%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -7.97%E -3.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.00%E -0.896%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -13.51%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -8.82%E -4.08%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-16 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.18%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.95%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.66%EV -10.05%E -3.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -5.44%E -2.43%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.47%EV -9.66%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.47%EV -10.05%E -3.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 11:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -12.19%E -5.86%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -6.30%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.35%E -5.40%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.00%EV -12.62%E -6.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.69%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-16 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.00%EV -12.62%E -6.09%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.69%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -7.74%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-16 11:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |