Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 57.59%1.74fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.85%57.56%57.58%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.41%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.223%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%19.24%19.22%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.744.755.2722.73%21.08%21.05%18.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV +0.488%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%23.20%23.20%24.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.953.904.3327.78%25.33%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 57.59%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 19.20%; Draw: 23.21%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.09%EV +1.17%E +0.223%K +0.275%G +0.003% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.08%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.10%EV +0.982%E +0.187%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.11%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -10.73%E -6.92%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.170%E -0.033%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.01%E -0.802%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.01%E -0.802%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.01%E -0.802%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.53%E -0.602%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.27%E -4.52%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.01%E -0.802%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.27%E -4.52%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.01%E -0.802%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.01%E -0.802%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.93%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.93%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.65%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.93%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.65%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -7.27%E -4.52%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV +0.488%E +0.113%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -6.12%E -3.76%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -6.12%E -3.76%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -9.00%E -5.70%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 11:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.27%E -4.52%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.99%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.60%EV -8.42%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.69%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.81%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 10:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.81%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.27%E -4.52%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.81%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.81%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.81%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -9.77%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -7.27%E -4.52%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV +0.488%E +0.113%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-28 14:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.27%E -4.52%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.53%E -0.602%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.85%E -4.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 11:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -1.37%E -0.322%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -1.37%E -0.322%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 10:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -5.55%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 10:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -8.42%E -5.30%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.03%EV -6.12%E -3.76%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.85%EV -6.12%E -3.76%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -16.45%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.10% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.8% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |