Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Oldham Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.26%48.81%49.22%50.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.912.0054.95%52.39%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oldham Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 24.51%4.08fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.24%24.63%24.47%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.654.0230.30%27.51%27.40%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.48%3.78fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.746%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.56%26.31%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.403.7032.26%29.16%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 49.01%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 24.51%; Draw: 26.48%. For Oldham Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.02, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.99%E -0.993%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.99%E -0.993%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -17.89%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -17.89%E -5.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -15.26%E -4.77%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -19.12%E -5.79%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.89%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.05%EV -2.94%E -0.743%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -2.28%E -0.618%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.89%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -6.89%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.87%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.96%E -0.490%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.26%EV -6.37%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -6.25%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.22%EV -8.85%E -4.76%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.24%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -6.78%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.85%E -4.76%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.90%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.97% | 2.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |