Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 30.01%3.33fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -0.956%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%29.98%30.07%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.083.2634.48%32.45%32.52%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 43.96%2.27fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%43.94%43.90%45.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.112.122.1849.26%47.32%47.17%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%26.08%26.03%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.65%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 30.01%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 43.96%; Draw: 26.03%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -2.16%E -0.662%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -7.25%E -3.44%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -3.16%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -2.46%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -2.46%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.96%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.98%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.92%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.92%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.37%EV -8.13%E -3.89%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.79%E -3.82%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.14%EV -6.36%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 13:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.14%EV -6.36%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -6.36%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.48%EV -9.01%E -4.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.85%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.38%E -0.635%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.68%E -0.995%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -1.08%E -0.284%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.96%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.75%EV -10.77%E -5.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.38%E -0.635%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -15.40%E -4.74%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.96%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -15.40%E -4.74%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-21 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.46%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.89%E -4.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |