Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United v Salford City

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 48.98%2.04fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.55%49.09%48.94%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.12%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.598%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.13%22.83%22.97%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.024.004.4526.32%24.87%25.00%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -0.911%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.09%28.09%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.4833.33%30.49%30.30%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 48.98%; Salford City (Visit): 22.94%; Draw: 28.09%. For Salford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV +2.06%E +0.464%K +0.598%G +0.012%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -2.26%E -0.649%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV +0.917%E +0.208%K +0.270%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -8.41%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -0.689%E -0.159%K -0.207%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -0.689%E -0.159%K -0.207%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -10.37%E -5.67%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -0.689%E -0.159%K -0.207%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:20
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.67%E -0.874%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.67%E -0.874%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.67%E -0.874%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.37%E -5.67%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.67%E -0.874%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.37%E -5.67%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.67%E -0.874%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:25
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -11.84%E -6.58%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -3.67%E -0.874%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.82%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:25
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.82%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 12:25
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:24
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -5.96%E -3.11%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.41%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -11.84%E -6.58%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -8.26%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -15.74%E -5.25%K -7.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.40%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.40%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -8.41%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.40%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:25
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.31%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 08:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.55%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -8.41%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.70%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.70%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-20 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.70%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-20 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.70%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-20 08:30
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-03-21 12:25