A Escola das Odds

Cambridge United v Notts County

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 4–0 Notts County

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Previsão 50.35%1.99odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.58%50.30%50.33%51.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.861.851.9357.80%53.86%54.05%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Notts County (Visitante)

Previsão 21.04%4.75odd justa
EV +0.785%
Vantagem +0.164%
Kelly +0.207%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.50%21.11%21.00%24.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.254.404.7926.67%23.54%22.73%20.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.61%3.50odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -0.804%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.67%28.60%28.67%30.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.03%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.55%EV +0.785%E +0.164%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.99%EV -7.60%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.12%EV -6.35%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.98%EV +0.154%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.90%EV -5.88%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.74%EV -9.87%E -5.51%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.88%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.21%E -0.698%K -0.892%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:46
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:49
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -11.88%E -6.79%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:49
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -12.89%E -7.45%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -8.89%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -17.61%E -6.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -9.52%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:46
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.52%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.58%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:46
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:44
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:46
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.35%E -4.00%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:14
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:14
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -21.10%E -5.63%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -21.10%E -5.63%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 47.74%EV -4.84%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -21.10%E -5.63%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.04%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%3.9%2026-04-11 13:55