La escuela de los momios

Cambridge United v Notts County

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 4–0 Notts County

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Predicción 50.35%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.58%50.30%50.33%51.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.861.851.9357.80%53.86%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Notts County (Visitante)

Predicción 21.04%4.75momio equitativo
EV +0.785%
Ventaja +0.164%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.50%21.11%21.00%24.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.254.404.7926.67%23.54%22.73%20.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.61%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -0.804%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.67%28.60%28.67%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.03%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.55%EV +0.785%E +0.164%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.99%EV -7.60%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.12%EV -6.35%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.98%EV +0.154%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.90%EV -5.88%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.74%EV -9.87%E -5.51%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.88%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.21%E -0.698%K -0.892%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:46
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:49
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.37%E -5.20%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -11.88%E -6.79%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:49
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -12.89%E -7.45%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -8.89%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -17.61%E -6.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -9.52%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:46
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.52%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.58%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:46
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:44
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:46
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.35%E -4.00%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:14
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:14
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -21.10%E -5.63%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -21.10%E -5.63%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 47.74%EV -4.84%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -21.10%E -5.63%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 13:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.04%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%3.9%2026-04-11 13:55