The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cambridge United v Grimsby Town

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.03%48.09%47.75%50.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.36%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visit)

Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +0.880%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%24.76%25.06%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.754.1028.57%26.73%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.26%27.15%27.19%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.353.5532.26%29.58%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 47.80%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 25.06%; Draw: 27.14%. For Grimsby Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.33%EV -12.04%E -6.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV +2.73%E +0.665%K +0.880%G +0.024%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.18%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -9.65%E -5.11%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -3.54%E -0.918%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -11.09%E -5.96%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -11.09%E -5.96%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:33
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:44
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 22:34
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 15:54
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 18:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 22:44
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 22:44
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.17%E -4.83%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 22:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.26%E -3.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.05%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 22:44
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.05%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 22:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -12.52%E -6.84%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.31%E -3.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -15.86%E -5.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-21 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 29.39%3.35I 29.85%NM 16.23%1.00I 100.00%NM 54.38%83.9%2026-03-21 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 39.74%1.85I 54.05%NM 22.34%1.09I 91.74%NM 37.92%142.0%2026-03-22 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 39.74%1.85I 54.05%NM 22.34%1.09I 91.74%NM 37.92%142.0%2026-03-22 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.85%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.85%1.09I 91.74%NM 32.30%184.1%2026-03-22 21:04