Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United v Gillingham

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 64.90%1.54fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -8.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.69%64.87%64.97%67.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4873.53%69.54%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gillingham (Visit)

Prediction 12.95%7.72fair odd
EV +10.09%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.136%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.07%12.97%12.98%15.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.867.008.5017.24%14.57%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.15%4.51fair odd
EV +0.122%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.67%22.16%22.06%23.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.154.104.5226.67%24.12%24.39%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 64.90%; Gillingham (Visit): 12.95%; Draw: 22.15%. For Gillingham (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.72. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +10.09%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -4.09%E -0.944%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.17%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +3.61%E +0.452%K +0.516%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.17%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +3.61%E +0.452%K +0.516%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +3.61%E +0.452%K +0.516%G +0.019%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -4.09%E -0.944%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.91%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.01%EV +2.32%E +0.293%K +0.336%G +0.008%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.321%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:45
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:44
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -2.86%E -0.382%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -5.45%E -0.747%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -6.10%E -0.841%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -6.10%E -0.841%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.79%EV -6.75%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -2.54%E -0.576%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -3.64%E -0.838%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.54%E -0.576%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -9.34%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -16.93%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.96%EV -5.25%E -3.60%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -10.63%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -8.07%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:39
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.96%EV -5.25%E -3.60%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -10.63%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -8.07%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -2.54%E -0.576%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -2.54%E -0.576%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.69%EV -6.55%E -4.55%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -12.58%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -4.09%E -0.944%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -12.58%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -12.58%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -12.58%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -7.85%E -5.53%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -14.52%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.20%E -5.03%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -15.81%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:29
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.45%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 14.88%EV -18.66%E -2.97%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.67%EV +0.122%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.95%E -2.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -22.29%E -3.72%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -24.88%E -4.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -24.88%E -4.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -24.88%E -4.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.59%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.59%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.57%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%2.1%2026-03-14 14:55