Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bromley FC v Colchester United

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bromley FC (Local)

Prediction 40.64%2.46fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.22%40.67%40.70%42.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.262.252.3745.45%44.28%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colchester United (Visit)

Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.714%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.97%30.53%30.54%31.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.003.003.2334.72%33.29%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -0.858%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.49%28.81%28.76%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.223.253.3935.71%31.09%30.77%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bromley FC (Local): 40.64%; Colchester United (Visit): 30.47%; Draw: 28.89%. For Colchester United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.23, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -3.68%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -7.99%E -2.65%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.15%EV -2.05%E -0.605%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.08%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:54
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -5.31%E -2.28%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -1.59%E -0.493%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -12.45%E -4.11%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.08%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.08%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.08%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -7.38%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -6.96%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.08%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.08%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 13:59
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:53
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -12.26%E -4.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.65%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.99%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.99%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.65%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.65%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.65%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -12.26%E -4.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -19.10%E -6.82%K -10.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-03-21 14:55