The School of Odds
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Bristol Rovers v Salford City

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.547%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.65%34.08%34.26%36.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.9040.00%37.39%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 38.42%2.60fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%38.46%38.40%41.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.422.5545.45%41.20%41.24%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.45%27.46%27.34%29.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.173.343.303.5031.55%29.98%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 34.12%; Salford City (Visit): 38.42%; Draw: 27.45%. For Bristol Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -1.04%E -0.359%K -0.547%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 18:25
BetUS🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.38%EV -2.06%E -0.719%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.26%EV -6.25%E -2.56%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.37%EV -2.41%E -0.841%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -6.63%E -2.73%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.35%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.75%E -0.964%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -2.75%E -0.964%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -15.47%E -7.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-20 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.50%EV -7.01%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.50%EV -7.01%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:30
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -5.14%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.93%EV -2.79%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.47%EV -12.98%E -4.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 18:44
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 18:44
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 17:10
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 17:10
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.01%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.01%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.16%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -10.47%E -4.49%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:30
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:15
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.87%E -2.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.34%EV -8.55%E -3.19%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.26%EV -5.09%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.40%EV -11.06%E -3.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -10.25%E -3.90%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-20 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.02%E -0.792%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 09:25
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -12.98%E -5.09%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 13:50
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:25
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:24
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:24
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:24
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:25
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 09:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -14.69%E -5.88%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 34.03%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.79%-0.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.77%0.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.3%2026-10-20 18:40