Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.69%40.87%40.78%42.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.282.3645.45%44.03%43.86%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 29.91%3.34fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.389%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%29.89%30.02%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.053.083.3034.72%32.74%32.52%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.22%3.42fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%29.24%29.19%31.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.163.203.3035.71%31.63%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 40.86%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 29.91%; Draw: 29.22%. For Fleetwood Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.77%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -1.28%E -0.389%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.77%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -1.28%E -0.389%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.26%EV -5.61%E -2.43%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.51%EV -3.38%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.02%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 09:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -7.25%E -3.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.56%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.56%EV -8.23%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.02%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 09:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -13.85%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -18.17%E -6.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -9.70%E -4.39%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -3.68%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -4.73%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 06:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.48%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |