Language:English
Bristol Rovers v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol Rovers (Local)
Prediction 53.82%1.86fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -5.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.51%53.82%53.88%55.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7860.61%58.07%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 20.57%4.86fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.336%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%20.55%20.58%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.484.504.8023.53%22.33%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.61%3.90fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.62%25.55%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.603.8029.85%27.92%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol Rovers (Local): 53.82%; Exeter City (Visit): 20.57%; Draw: 25.61%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.19%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -1.28%E -0.266%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.50%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.66%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.11%EV -2.72%E -0.574%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.23%EV -3.46%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -10.94%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.43%EV -6.79%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 13:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 09:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 13:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.26%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.31%EV -6.79%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.88%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -4.36%E -0.938%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.65%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -4.36%E -0.938%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.65%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -7.42%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -9.50%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -14.21%E -4.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.45%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.69%E -0.707%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.31%E -0.485%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.94%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -12.59%E -2.96%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -12.59%E -2.96%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -9.04%E -5.35%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -5.39%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -10.11%E -6.06%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.50%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-26 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -11.19%E -6.78%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.33%E -0.709%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 13:28 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 13:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.79% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |