The School of Odds
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Bristol Rovers v Barnet

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.00%42.63%42.90%44.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.56%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 31.08%3.22fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.95%31.28%31.10%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.903.1435.71%34.17%34.48%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV +3.11%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.08%26.10%26.00%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.9629.41%27.80%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bristol Rovers (Local): 42.88%; Barnet (Visit): 31.08%; Draw: 26.04%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.96, producing a positive expected value of +3.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.35%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -6.13%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.08%EV +3.11%E +0.785%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.9%2026-10-03 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.36%E -0.629%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.36%E -0.629%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.66%E -0.990%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 18:54
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 15:25
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-03 18:49
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -9.09%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-03 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 14:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 16:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.31%E -2.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.95%EV -2.40%E -0.765%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.35%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.19%EV -8.66%E -4.07%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.35%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -11.42%E -4.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 15:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.00%EV -5.23%E -2.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.10%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 40.89%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.83%16.5%2026-10-03 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 21.68%1.10I 90.91%NM 44.54%1.45I 68.97%NM 33.79%104.1%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:36