Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barrow v Gillingham

Início: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barrow (Local)

Previsão 32.59%3.07odd justa
EV -3.87%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.82%32.60%32.59%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.802.802.9537.74%35.69%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gillingham (Visitante)

Previsão 37.89%2.64odd justa
EV -3.38%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -2.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.68%37.82%37.85%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.452.452.5545.45%40.79%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.52%3.39odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -0.779%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.14%29.58%29.56%30.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.143.153.3034.72%31.89%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barrow (Local): 32.59%; Gillingham (Visitante): 37.89%; Empate: 29.52%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.39. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.30, com valor esperado de -2.57%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.47%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.14%EV -6.41%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 20:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:30
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.57%E -0.779%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 00:54
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.52%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.52%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:05
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.27%EV -7.93%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.43%EV -6.71%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 16:29
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -6.47%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 23:39
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:39
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.55%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.55%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 23:43
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 23:55
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -8.43%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.31%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.93%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -8.43%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.31%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.93%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:44
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 12:04
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.57%E -0.779%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 15:03
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:08
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 00:55
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 00:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.58%EV -10.58%E -4.48%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 00:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 21:05
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -16.64%E -7.57%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -14.97%E -5.20%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-27 11:30
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.64%E -5.15%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.64%E -5.15%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.64%E -5.15%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-02-28 14:15