La escuela de los momios

Barrow v Gillingham

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barrow (Local)

Predicción 32.59%3.07momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%32.60%32.59%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.802.802.9537.74%35.69%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gillingham (Visitante)

Predicción 37.89%2.64momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.68%37.82%37.85%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.452.5545.45%40.79%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.52%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.779%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%29.58%29.56%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.153.3034.72%31.89%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.47%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.14%EV -6.41%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:15
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 20:24
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.87%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:30
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.57%E -0.779%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 23:39
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.50%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 00:54
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.52%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.52%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:05
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.27%EV -7.93%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.43%EV -6.71%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 16:29
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -6.47%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 23:39
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:39
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.55%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.55%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:05
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 23:43
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 23:55
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -8.43%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.31%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.93%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:44
LowVig.ag2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -8.43%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.31%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.93%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:44
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 12:04
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.57%E -0.779%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 15:03
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:08
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:09
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:09
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 04:09
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 00:55
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 12:00
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 00:55
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 00:55
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.58%EV -10.58%E -4.48%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 00:55
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 21:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.75%E -3.13%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -16.64%E -7.57%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -14.97%E -5.20%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-27 11:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:15
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:14
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.64%E -5.15%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.64%E -5.15%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.64%E -5.15%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-02-28 14:15