The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Barnet v York City

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:46 UTC

Final: Barnet 3–1 York City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet (Local)

Prediction 41.80%2.39fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.56%41.98%41.71%44.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.182.202.3049.02%45.96%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

York City (Visit)

Prediction 32.14%3.11fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.395%
Kelly +0.579%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%32.02%32.25%33.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.932.913.1538.17%34.16%34.36%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%26.00%26.04%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7630.30%28.39%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnet (Local): 41.80%; York City (Visit): 32.14%; Draw: 26.05%. For York City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -11.38%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.25%E +0.395%K +0.579%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 20:45
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:49
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:49
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:45
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:45
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -13.88%E -6.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -1.97%E -0.645%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 19:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 19:30
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 19:30
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -14.72%E -7.22%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.86%EV -14.72%E -7.22%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.86%EV -14.72%E -7.22%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 20:49
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:30
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 19:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 19:30
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -7.20%E -3.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 19:30
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -7.20%E -3.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -10.54%E -4.93%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 19:25
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -3.85%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.47%EV -2.03%E -0.541%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 19:34
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.66%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 19:40
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:28
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:33
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.76%EV -6.36%E -2.84%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.76%EV -6.36%E -2.84%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 19:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-27 19:34
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 19:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 19:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-27 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-27 19:30
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.13%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.41%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -5.16%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 19:35
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-27 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.26%EV -8.87%E -4.07%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.44%EV -8.72%E -3.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.31%EV -5.16%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 19:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 19:29
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 19:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-27 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 19:30
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -15.79%E -6.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-10-27 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-10-27 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-10-27 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-10-27 19:35
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-10-27 19:35