Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet v Swindon Town

2026-10-20 18:45 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet (Local)

Prediction 56.46%1.77fair odd
EV -6.84%
Edge -4.15%
Kelly -10.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.05%56.46%56.46%56.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.651.6562.50%61.07%60.61%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Swindon Town (Visit)

Prediction 20.25%4.94fair odd
EV -6.84%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.25%20.25%20.25%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.544.604.6022.99%22.01%21.74%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.77%23.29%23.29%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.853.984.004.1025.97%25.16%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barnet (Local): 56.46%; Swindon Town (Visit): 20.25%; Draw: 23.29%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -4.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:05
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:05
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.84%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 19:04
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -7.41%E -4.52%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 19:09
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.37%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.37%EV -8.67%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 19:15
picklebet_au🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.05%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.89%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.07%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -11.91%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-15 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.07%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -11.91%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-15 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.