The School of Odds
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Barnet v Port Vale

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet (Local)

Prediction 46.07%2.17fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.11%46.00%47.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0652.63%49.97%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Vale (Visit)

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%27.76%27.96%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.293.5032.26%30.32%30.44%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.13%26.03%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.503.6329.41%28.52%28.57%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barnet (Local): 46.07%; Port Vale (Visit): 27.91%; Draw: 26.03%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -2.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -5.10%E -2.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.30%EV -7.07%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.96%EV -5.52%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-14 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-14 23:19
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 18:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.57%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.49%E -3.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 16:00
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.61%EV -6.49%E -3.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.31%EV -8.74%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -7.41%E -3.69%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 16:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.21%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 16:00
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.33%E -0.665%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-14 17:40
picklebet_au🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -11.09%E -5.75%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -11.55%E -6.02%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.12%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -12.48%E -6.57%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-14 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 46.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%16.9%2026-11-14 17:20

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