The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Accrington Stanley v Salford City

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prediction 26.28%3.81fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%26.16%26.32%27.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.7530.77%28.44%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 47.46%2.11fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%47.64%47.36%49.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.941.952.0254.35%51.65%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.557%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.20%26.32%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.503.7529.41%28.47%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Accrington Stanley (Local): 26.28%; Salford City (Visit): 47.46%; Draw: 26.26%. For Accrington Stanley (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -1.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -12.67%E -6.88%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 17:20
picklebet_au🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -1.46%E -0.388%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -12.19%E -6.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.77%E -0.749%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 19:00
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.77%E -0.749%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -12.19%E -6.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 18:05
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -8.87%E -4.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 18:59
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.82%E -5.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 19:00
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.50%EV -6.45%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.12%E -2.04%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.80%EV -7.57%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-14 17:05
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.71%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -9.82%E -5.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 19:00
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.30%EV -7.50%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.24%EV -6.97%E -3.56%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 16:45
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-14 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 16:25
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-15 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -12.19%E -6.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-14 21:35
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.34%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -5.07%E -2.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 23:19
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 18:05
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 18:10
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.97%E -3.56%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 17:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 17:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-14 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%16.5%2026-11-14 17:20

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.