L’École des cotes

Accrington Stanley v Notts County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prévision 22.66%4.41cote équitable
EV -0.744%
Avantage -0.170%
Kelly -0.220%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.61%22.67%22.70%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.044.004.3827.03%24.77%25.00%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.03%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.39%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -4.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.29%48.99%48.89%51.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.891.891.9554.64%52.92%52.91%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.923%
Avantage -0.264%
Kelly -0.369%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.70%28.34%28.42%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.79%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -0.744%E -0.170%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.36%EV -7.33%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -1.42%E -0.327%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:45
1xBet4.27I 23.42%NM 21.90%EV -3.24%E -0.758%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.75%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -3.69%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -3.69%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -0.923%E -0.264%K -0.369%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.80%E -4.73%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:45
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:45
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -8.80%E -4.73%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:45
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:41
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.29%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -15.02%E -4.01%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -15.08%E -5.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -16.15%E -4.37%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.31%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%4.5%2026-03-17 19:45