La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Accrington Stanley v Notts County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Predicción 22.66%4.41momio equitativo
EV -0.744%
Ventaja -0.170%
Kelly -0.220%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.61%22.67%22.70%23.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.044.004.3827.03%24.77%25.00%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Notts County (Visitante)
Predicción 49.03%2.04momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -2.25%
Kelly -4.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.29%48.99%48.89%51.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.891.891.9554.64%52.92%52.91%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.923%
Ventaja -0.264%
Kelly -0.369%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.70%28.34%28.42%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.79%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -0.744%E -0.170%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.36%EV -7.33%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -1.42%E -0.327%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.90%EV -3.24%E -0.758%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.75%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -3.69%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -3.69%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bet Victor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -0.923%E -0.264%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.80%E -4.73%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetUS | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Everygame | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -8.80%E -4.73%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:41 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -7.82%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.29%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -15.02%E -4.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -15.08%E -5.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -16.15%E -4.37%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.31%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 2.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |