Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Accrington Stanley v Northampton Town

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Accrington Stanley (Local)

Prediction 42.07%2.38fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%42.02%41.97%43.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.222.252.3046.51%45.03%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northampton Town (Visit)

Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.49%28.77%28.86%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.203.4233.33%31.59%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.58%29.22%29.17%30.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.203.3033.33%31.66%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Accrington Stanley (Local): 42.07%; Northampton Town (Visit): 28.85%; Draw: 29.08%. For Northampton Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.42, with an expected value of -1.32%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -10.56%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.56%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 17:24
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 17:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 17:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.00%E -3.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:24
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:25
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.56%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:24
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.56%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:25
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.56%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 17:20
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.56%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.32%EV -8.70%E -4.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.49%EV -1.32%E -0.387%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 16:50
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.71%EV -8.70%E -4.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -6.38%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.59%EV -7.09%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.59%EV -6.38%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 17:15
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.87%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.