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Accrington Stanley v Gillingham
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Accrington Stanley (Local)
Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd
EV -5.35%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.22%40.95%40.91%42.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.282.3146.51%44.16%43.86%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillingham (Visit)
Prediction 30.83%3.24fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.762%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%30.67%30.91%31.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.32%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.38%28.18%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.233.253.4035.09%30.94%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Accrington Stanley (Local): 40.97%; Gillingham (Visit): 30.83%; Draw: 28.19%. For Gillingham (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV +1.75%E +0.531%K +0.762%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV +0.210%E +0.065%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -10.67%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV +0.210%E +0.065%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -11.20%E -3.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.48%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.66%EV -0.406%E -0.126%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.86%EV -6.41%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.51%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.65%EV -0.715%E -0.222%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.84%EV -6.69%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -1.33%E -0.416%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -19.66%E -6.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -9.04%E -4.07%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -2.87%E -0.912%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -9.04%E -4.07%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -2.87%E -0.912%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -3.80%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 13:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -3.80%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -5.96%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 07:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.37%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -5.84%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.46%EV -9.04%E -4.07%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.99%EV -8.42%E -2.84%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.56%EV -5.84%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.04%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.04%E -3.06%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -8.63%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 07:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.90%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.20%E -3.89%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.20%E -3.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.12%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -6.58%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |