Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers v Sheffield Wednesday

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +0.917%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.82%40.82%41.03%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4847.62%43.46%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visit)

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.60%33.22%33.04%35.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.753.0639.22%36.06%36.36%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -0.082%
Edge -0.021%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.57%25.97%25.93%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.503.8429.85%28.36%28.57%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 40.87%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 33.11%; Draw: 26.02%. For Wycombe Wanderers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV +1.36%E +0.547%K +0.917%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -10.60%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV +1.36%E +0.547%K +0.917%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -10.60%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:25
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -0.687%E -0.283%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -12.92%E -4.91%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -0.687%E -0.283%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -12.92%E -4.91%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -0.687%E -0.283%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -12.92%E -4.91%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -0.687%E -0.283%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -12.92%E -4.91%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -0.687%E -0.283%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -12.92%E -4.91%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -1.91%E -0.797%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -13.91%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -13.91%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -13.91%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -13.91%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -15.57%E -6.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -15.57%E -6.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.60%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:20
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -12.26%E -4.63%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:25
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.60%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -12.26%E -4.63%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.41%EV -7.23%E -3.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -1.99%E -0.674%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV -0.082%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.23%E -3.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.85%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:40
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -0.670%E -0.223%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:19
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:28
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:28
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.60%EV +1.32%E +0.430%K +0.639%G +0.008%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.78%EV -12.31%E -3.65%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.95%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.12%E -0.295%K -0.401%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:14
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -8.45%E -3.77%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -0.670%E -0.223%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.88%EV -8.45%E -3.77%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.69%EV -1.99%E -0.674%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:35
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -3.98%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.09%E -4.58%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -10.60%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35